How to use this calculator
- Enter your current age, planned retirement age, and life expectancy (how many years of withdrawals to plan for).
- Enter your current retirement savings, planned annual contribution, and expected returns before and after retirement.
- Choose a desired retirement income either as a dollar amount in today's dollars, or as a percentage of your current income.
- Enter any other income you expect in retirement, such as Social Security or a pension, in today's dollars, and the age it starts — use our Social Security calculator to estimate that amount.
- Review your projected balance at retirement, whether your money lasts, any shortfall, and the extra monthly savings that would close it. Check the balance-by-age chart and yearly schedule, then export or share your scenario.
How it's calculated
During the accumulation phase (current age through retirement age), each year's contribution is added at the start of the year, then that year's pre-retirement return is applied to the whole balance. Your annual contribution can grow by a fixed percentage each year to model rising savings.
During the withdrawal phase (retirement age through life expectancy), your desired income and any other income (like Social Security) are both grown from today's dollars using your inflation rate, so later years' withdrawals reflect rising costs. The gap between desired income and other income is withdrawn from savings at the start of each year, and the remaining balance earns that year's post-retirement return.
If a year's withdrawal need exceeds your balance, the calculator withdraws what's available and marks that as the year your savings are depleted — it doesn't allow the balance to go negative.
Shortfall and surplus compare your projected balance at retirement with the present value (at retirement, discounted at your post-retirement return) of every future year's net withdrawal need through life expectancy.
Extra monthly savings needed solves for the level monthly amount that, saved from now until retirement and grown at your pre-retirement return, would close any shortfall.
The 4% rule comparison applies a flat 4% to your projected balance at retirement as a simple, widely cited estimate of a sustainable first-year withdrawal, for comparison with your stated desired income.
Assumptions
- This calculator assumes constant, unchanging rates of return before and after retirement, and constant inflation — it is not a Monte Carlo simulation and doesn't model market volatility, sequence-of-returns risk, or any year-to-year variation in returns.
- Contributions, withdrawals, and other income are all assumed to happen exactly as scheduled, once a year, with no taxes, fees, or required minimum distributions applied.
- Desired income and other income you enter in today's dollars are grown to future dollars using the same constant inflation rate for both accumulation and withdrawal years.
- The 4% rule figure is a simple, widely cited rule of thumb, not a personalized recommendation — actual safe withdrawal rates depend on your specific portfolio, time horizon, and market conditions.
- Results are estimates for planning purposes only and don't account for your full financial picture, taxes, or Social Security claiming strategy — consult a qualified financial professional for personalized advice.
Frequently asked questions
How much money do I need to retire?
A common starting point is to estimate your desired annual income in retirement, subtract any other income like Social Security or a pension, and see what balance would sustainably cover the rest — the 4% rule suggests dividing that annual gap by 4% (or multiplying by 25) as a rough target. This calculator does that math for your specific ages, returns, and income assumptions, and also tells you whether your current savings and contribution rate get you there.
What is the 4% rule?
The 4% rule is a widely cited guideline suggesting a retiree can withdraw 4% of their portfolio in the first year of retirement, then adjust that amount for inflation each year after, with a reasonably low risk of running out of money over a roughly 30-year retirement. It comes from historical U.S. market research and is a simple benchmark, not a guarantee — this calculator uses it only as one point of comparison alongside its own year-by-year projection.
Is this calculator a Monte Carlo simulation?
No. It projects your balance using constant, unchanging assumed returns for accumulation and withdrawal, which makes the math transparent and easy to audit, but it doesn't model the real variability of market returns from year to year. A Monte Carlo simulation runs many random scenarios to show a range of outcomes and their probabilities; this calculator shows a single, deterministic scenario based on the averages you enter.
What counts as 'other income' in retirement?
Enter any income you expect beyond withdrawals from these savings, most commonly Social Security retirement benefits or a traditional pension, in today's dollars along with the age it starts. Use our Social Security calculator to estimate your benefit at different claiming ages before entering it here.
Should I enter my desired income as a dollar amount or a percentage of my income?
Either works. A dollar amount is more precise if you already have a retirement budget in mind. A percentage of current income is a common shortcut — many planners suggest targeting 70–80% of pre-retirement income, since some costs (commuting, retirement savings itself, payroll taxes) typically fall once you stop working, while others (healthcare, leisure) may rise.
What if the calculator says my savings will run out?
It shows the age your projected balance would be depleted given your current inputs, along with a shortfall figure and the extra monthly savings that would close the gap between now and retirement. You can also test working a bit longer, spending somewhat less in retirement, or aiming for a higher return, and see how each changes the outcome.
How does inflation affect the projection?
Inflation grows your desired income and other income from today's dollars into the higher future dollars you'll actually need in each retirement year, so later years show larger withdrawal needs even though your purchasing power stays the same. It doesn't otherwise change your investment returns, which you enter separately.
What's a reasonable pre-retirement and post-retirement return to assume?
This calculator doesn't recommend specific rates — your right assumption depends on your actual investment mix and risk tolerance. Many retirement plans use a somewhat lower assumed return after retirement than before, reflecting a shift toward more conservative investments as retirement nears; try a few different combinations to see how sensitive your results are.
Does this account for taxes on withdrawals?
No. Withdrawals are modeled as pre-tax dollars available to spend, without modeling income tax on traditional account withdrawals, capital gains tax, or the tax-free treatment of Roth accounts. If a meaningful share of your savings is in taxable or traditional pre-tax accounts, your actual spendable income will be somewhat lower than shown here.
How is 'balance at retirement in today's dollars' different from the nominal balance?
The nominal balance at retirement is the actual dollar amount your account is projected to hold in that future year. The today's-dollars figure divides that by inflation over the years until retirement, showing what that balance is worth in today's purchasing power — useful for comparing a distant retirement date against your current cost of living.
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Disclaimer: This calculator provides estimates for educational purposes only and is not financial, tax, or legal advice or an offer of credit. Actual payments depend on your lender, loan terms, taxes, and insurance. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.